These questions are aimed at assessing your expert views on issues related to the future of AGI. Some of the questions are ones we asked in a survey at the AGI-10 conference, enabling (admittedly quite inexact) examination of how views have shifted over the years.

The first set of questions asks you to make timing estimates. These are a bit laborious, but necessarily so, as we are aiming to elicit probability distributions rather than point estimates, for robustness reasons. These items are repeats from the 2010 survey.

The second set of questions ask you to choose among answers to opinion questions.

The third set of questions asks for your ideas in your own words. We will be reading these carefully, so take as much time as you wish to think about your answers.

You don't need to answer all of the questions. Just answer what you wish. But the more you answer the more information we will have, and the more we will love you!