Your Theory of Change
In this section you'll work on thinking through the issues involved in a theory of change.
Most people have an idea how the world and people operate, based on personal experiences, values, and beliefs. This is also how theory formulation (in a very general and simplistic way) starts, with personal observations, analyses, and conclusions of someone’s own life experiences. From these observations and conclusions, a model explaining why things happen can take shape. In a second step, academic institutions often take these models and further develop and often test them to determine how well they hold up under different conditions. This is because a real theory or model must be replicable in a variety of settings and with many individuals or groups (National STD/HIV Prevention Training Centers 2005). This also provides predictions about the causal relation between two or more phenomena.
We call this beginning of a theory our theory of change. It will serve as a tool to support the change we think we need and how it should be addressed more explicitly. A complete theory of change incorporates the perspectives of all constituents. It is important to reconsider all assumptions that shape beliefs and check them against various data sources and SBCC theories about what will work and why, and what strategies are likely to be most effective in the short, medium and long term.
Here are the steps involved in working on a theory of change:
1. Name the changes the problem calls for.
2. Name the key barriers/assets to change.
3. Clarify our assumptions.
4. Name SBCC concepts to help find the tipping point for change: The concepts that these assumptions are based on are used in community organization and advocacy theories, such as agenda setting and framing, Diffusion of Innovation, and coalition building (between services and community leaders).
5. Summarize the above points.