Finance and economics | Free exchange

The benefits of Brentry

Eurosceptics may be hugely underestimating the value of membership of the European Union

THIS week the Institute for Economic Affairs, a British think-tank, awarded a prize of €100,000 ($138,000) for the most compelling plan for a British withdrawal from the European Union. The winner, a British diplomat named Iain Mansfield, reckoned that “Brexit” would probably lift the British economy by 0.1%. It could enjoy a boost to GDP as big as 1.1%, he argued, provided it succeeding in maintaining access to the European market, swept away a few of the EU’s regulatory impositions and took the opportunity to embark on a slate of unrelated reforms. But, he warns, a meaningful deterioration in Britain’s link to the European economy would cost the country dearly, slashing British output by 2.6%.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline "The benefits of Brentry"

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