ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZ
1
2
2016 US Open - System Comparisons
3
How often do the different rating systems correctly predict the winners of matches?
4
5
6
7
8
TRNUTR
9
10
11
73%60%71%
12
13
78%25 / 42 44%
14
15
7 / 9 15 / 34
16
17
18
77%
19
20
203 / 262
21
56%22%
22
23
19 / 34 2 / 9
24
25
26
27
28
40%
29
30
17 / 42
31
32
33
34
Point Systems
35
36
37
69%
38
39
40
All Rating Systems
41
How often do all the systems agree on the outcome?
262matches76%of the time
42
When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
203times77%of the time
43
When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
59times23%of the time
44
45
TRN & UTR Ratings
46
How often do TRN and UTR agree on the outcome?
304matches88%of the time
47
When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
228times75%of the time
48
When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
76times25%of the time
49
How often do TRN and UTR disagree on the outcome?
43matches12%of the time
50
When they disagree, how often does the higher rated TRN player win?
26times60%of the time
51
When they disagree, how often does the higher rated UTR player win?
17times40%of the time
52
53
TRN Ratings & Point Systems (ITF, ATP, WTA)
54
How often do TRN and the Point Systems agree on the outcome?
296matches85%of the time
55
When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
222times75%of the time
56
When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
74times25%of the time
57
How often do TRN and the Point Systems disagree on the outcome?
51matches15%of the time
58
When they disagree, how often does the higher rated TRN player win?
32times63%of the time
59
When they disagree, how often does the player with more points win?
19times37%of the time
60
61
UTR & Point Systems (ITF, ATP, WTA)
62
How often do UTR and the Point Systems agree on the outcome?
271matches78%of the time
63
When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
205times76%of the time
64
When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
66times24%of the time
65
How often do UTR and the Point Systems disagree on the outcome?
76matches22%of the time
66
When they disagree, how often does the higher rated UTR player win?
40times53%of the time
67
When they disagree, how often does the player with more points win?
36times47%of the time
68
69
70
Notes: This chart only uses the 347 matches from our study that were played to completion where both players were rated by all systems and player ratings were unique (i.e., no projected ties).
71
72